Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 91.676833 102.020713 112.690561 124.492736 137.155251 150.307163 164.973905
2025-03-23 75.666180 91.013598 107.695595 127.058533 148.796907 172.334344 199.629841
2025-03-30 62.911664 81.539313 102.807759 128.593872 158.713485 192.493772 232.947258
2025-04-06 52.056102 72.599960 97.191699 128.237044 165.814433 209.275217 262.768180
2025-04-13 43.789235 65.543751 92.774073 128.444602 173.008102 225.941174 292.626473
2025-04-20 38.660328 61.692013 91.687472 132.252194 184.296058 247.485894 328.604731
2025-04-27 34.078103 57.898323 90.126894 135.030837 194.061786 267.162820 362.581495
2025-05-04 30.681562 55.267682 89.716285 139.010227 205.209720 288.593917 398.989102
2025-05-11 27.391818 52.336618 88.519313 141.647221 214.455779 307.635744 432.627948
2025-05-18 22.319943 45.981880 81.826203 136.141124 212.403628 311.851691 447.303799
2025-05-25 18.780778 41.563193 77.497633 133.523938 213.899441 320.440846 467.476628
2025-06-01 16.303008 38.571233 75.014981 133.297434 218.497573 333.040695 492.905339
2025-06-08 14.369843 36.328640 73.580894 134.613988 225.419603 349.102536 523.507671
2025-06-15 13.391860 35.736609 74.750145 139.892598 238.140403 373.303111 565.389394
2025-06-22 12.122761 34.392177 74.539815 142.979180 247.725279 393.372845 602.079906
2025-06-29 10.574846 32.228751 72.728100 143.392516 253.315530 407.957968 631.557596
2025-07-06 9.256445 30.320371 71.169041 144.059635 259.208288 422.990476 661.800650
2025-07-13 8.576456 29.726842 71.901238 148.441453 270.752621 446.137796 703.444453
2025-07-20 7.812111 28.802135 71.926069 151.598761 280.450425 466.770274 741.855655
2025-07-27 7.264763 28.310461 72.703120 155.999420 292.104039 490.323062 784.551568
2025-08-03 6.609516 27.423506 72.631838 158.906881 301.456638 510.662683 822.987423
2025-08-10 5.204557 24.191906 67.618908 152.948877 296.628894 510.236073 832.204454
2025-08-17 4.272245 22.023001 64.512476 150.116248 296.574118 516.669285 851.058983